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work/2024/mes-45/wiki-bios.md
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work/2024/mes-45/wiki-bios.md
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# Wiki Bios
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## Wiki Bio 3
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Shirin Aliabadi 10 March 1973 -> 1 October 2018
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### biography
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- Born in Tehran, Iran
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- Mentored by older borther
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- Raised in rich environment until Iranian Revolution, went abroad to study art
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history at University of Paris
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- Commuted between Paris and Tehran, although primarily based in Tehran
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- Exhibited worldwide
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- Art is part of several notable collections (Deutsche Bank in Germany, Bristol
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City Museum and Art Gallery, Farjam Collection in Dubai)
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- Passed away in Tehran after battling cancer
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### artwork
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- Delves into conflicting influences on young urban Iranian women
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- Tension between traditional values, religious restrictions, pervasive impact
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of globalized Western culture
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- Photographic series _Girls in Cars_, women riding in cars, ready to party
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- Illustrates contradiction between Iranian restrictions and youthful women
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who were engaging with Western style traditions
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- _Operation Supermarket_, criticized failed capitalism and consumerism
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- Common household goods to question and critique societal values and
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economic systems
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- _Miss Hybrid_ presents young Iranian women in unconventional and striking
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ways, features women with bleached blonde hair, blue contacts, flawless
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makeup, in contrast with traditional view of Muslim women.
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### bio
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Shirin Aliabadi was a contemporary Iranian artist. Born on March 10th, 1973 in
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Tehran, Iran, she was exposed to a rich environment of art and culture while
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growing up, until the Iranian Revolution left both of her parents jobless.
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However, they still managed to send her overseas where she obtained a degree in
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art history at the University of Paris.
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Aliabadi was primarily based in Tehran but frequently commuted to Paris. Her
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artwork spans both photographs and drawings and has been exhibited worldwide,
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including in collections in Germany, Dubai, and France. A prevalent theme in
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her artwork is the contrast between the traditional view held in the West of
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muslim women and the reality around her in Iran. Her most famous works, _Girls
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in Cars_, and _Miss Hybrid_, both portrayed Iranian women in unconventional
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ways that were in contradiction with the traditional culture and values muslim
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women are often associated with. Women were depicted with bleached blonde hair,
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flawless makeup, and heading to parties in cars. Aliabadi's artwork highlighted
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the social and cultural structures in Iranian society and the shifts happening
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alongside the proliferation of Western culture.
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Aliabadi passed away in 2018 at the age of 45 after battling cancer.
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@ -8,22 +8,36 @@
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bibliography: bibliography("refs.bib"),
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)
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#show: word-count.with(exclude: (heading, <wordcount-exclude>, table))
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#show: word-count.with(exclude: (
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heading,
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<wordcount-exclude>,
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table,
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figure,
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footnote,
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))
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#set cite(style: "institute-of-electrical-and-electronics-engineers")
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#set text(fractions: true)
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#set table(inset: 8pt, align: center)
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#align(
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center,
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table(
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columns: (auto, auto),
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[
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Perm: A2V4847
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],
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[
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Word Count: #total-words
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#footnote[
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Figure computed programmatically during document compilation. Discounts
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content in tables and the AI contribution statement.
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]<wordcount-exclude>
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],
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pad(
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x: 20%,
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table(
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columns: (1fr, 1fr),
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[
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Perm: A2V4847
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],
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[
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Word Count: #total-words
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#footnote[
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Figure computed programmatically during document compilation. Discounts
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content in tables and the AI contribution statement.
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]
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],
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),
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),
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)
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@ -31,11 +45,11 @@
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= Introduction
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The argument for Betting on God says that you should believe in God, regardless
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of other evidence, purely out of self-interest. In this paper, I challenge this
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argument by assessing the premise that believing in a particular God always
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guarantees the greatest expected utility.
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of other evidence, purely out of rational self-interest. In this paper, I
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challenge this argument by assessing the premise that believing in a particular
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God always guarantees the greatest expected utility.
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The author's argument for belief in God #cite(supplement: [p. 38],
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The author's argument for belief in God on #cite(supplement: [p. 38],
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<Korman2022-KORLFA>) goes as follows:
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#indented-argument(
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@ -46,21 +60,29 @@ The author's argument for belief in God #cite(supplement: [p. 38],
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[So, you should believe in God.],
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)
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BG1 should be uncontroversial. If you expect an action to bring you the most
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utility (i.e. be the most useful), it's rational to do it.
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BG1 should be uncontroversial. If you expect that an action will bring you the
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most utility (i.e. be the most useful), it's rational to choose to do it.
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// To justify BG2, the author uses a so-called "decision matrix" to compute the
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// expected utility of each combination of action and possible outcome. The
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// possible actions are placed on the rows, and the possible outcomes are placed
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// on the columns, except for the last column, which is the calculated expected
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// utility. At each intersection of a row and column, we place the utility gained
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// from that combination of action and outcome. The expected utility for a given
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// action is computed by multiplying the utility of each action-outcome pair in
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// that action's row by the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring,
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// and summing up all of those values.
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|
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To justify BG2, the author uses a so-called "decision matrix" to compute the
|
||||
expected utility of each combination of action and possible outcome. The
|
||||
possible actions are placed on the rows, and the possible outcomes are placed
|
||||
on the columns, except for the last column, which is the calculated expected
|
||||
utility. At each intersection of a row and column, we place the utility we gain
|
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from that combination of action and outcome. The expected utility for a given
|
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action is computed by multiplying the utility of each action-outcome pair in
|
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that row by the probability of the corresponding outcome occurring, and summing
|
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up all of those values.
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expected utility of either belief or disbelief in God. Both possible actions
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are placed on the first column, and the possible outcomes (God existing or God
|
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not existing) are placed on the first row. The last column of the matrix
|
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represents the expected utility of the action in its corresponding row. At each
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intersection of action and outcome, we write the utility gained from that
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action-outcome combination.
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Here is the decision matrix the author proposes on #cite(supplement: [p. 38],
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<Korman2022-KORLFA>) which gives the expected utility for believing or not
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<Korman2022-KORLFA>) which gives the expected utilities for believing or not
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believing in God.
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#show table.cell.where(x: 0): strong
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@ -90,51 +112,59 @@ believing in God.
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),
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)
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Note that the numerical utility values themselves have no meaning, and they are
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meant to be viewed relative to each other. Utility doesn't literally provide an
|
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empirical measure of "usefulness" or "happiness."
|
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Note that utility doesn't provide an empirical measure of "usefulness" or
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"happiness," and should be viewed as a relative measurement.
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We assign the various finite utilities as we see fit, based on how much each
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scenario benefits us. In the case where God does exist, and you believed in
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God, then you are rewarded with an eternal afterlife of bliss and pleasure in
|
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heaven. This reward is infinitely greater than any possible reward on earth, so
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it has a utility of $infinity$.
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We assign each action-outcome combination utilities as we see fit, based on how
|
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much each scenario benefits us. You'll see shortly that the exact values we set
|
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for the finite utilities don't matter when infinite utility is introduced.
|
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So, the expected utility for not believing is $0.5 times 1 + 0.5 times 3 = 2$,
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and the expected utility is $0.5 times infinity + 0.5 times 2 = infinity$. If,
|
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according to BG1, you should pick the option with greatest expected utility,
|
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clearly you should choose to believe in God, because the expected utility is
|
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$infinity$.
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In the specific case where God does exist, and you believed in God, you
|
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are rewarded with an eternal afterlife of bliss and pleasure in heaven. This
|
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reward is infinitely greater than any possible reward on earth, so it has a
|
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utility of $infinity$.
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The exact utilities don't matter much, since any finite utility you could gain
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for atheism cannot possibly be greater than the infinite expected utility of
|
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believing in God. Also, as the author points out on #cite(<Korman2022-KORLFA>,
|
||||
supplement: [p. 40]), the exact probabilities don't matter either since
|
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multiplying them by $infinity$ still results in the expected utility of
|
||||
|
||||
To calculate the expected utility of a given action, we first multiply the
|
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utility gained from each action-outcome combination in the action's row by the
|
||||
probability of the corresponding outcome occurring. We then sum up all of these
|
||||
values to obtain the final expected utility.
|
||||
|
||||
So, the expected utility for disbelief is $0.5 times 1 + 0.5 times 3 = 2$, and
|
||||
the expected utility for belief is $0.5 times infinity + 0.5 times 2 =
|
||||
infinity$. If, according to BG1, you should pick the option with greatest
|
||||
expected utility, you should clearly choose to believe in God, because the
|
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expected utility is $infinity$.
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Also, as the author points out on #cite(<Korman2022-KORLFA>, supplement: [p.
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40]), the exact probabilities don't matter either since multiplying even the
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smallest percentage by $infinity$ still results in the expected utility of
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$infinity$.
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I will show that the Argument for Betting on God fails because BG2 fails. In
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section 2, I argue you cannot determine whether or not believing in God has the
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greatest expected utility because the decision matrix approach fails when
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possible outcomes involving infinitely negative utilities are introduced. In
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section 3, I address a possible response to this objection.
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section 3, I address a few possible responses to this objection.
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= Possibility of Infinite Suffering
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It is possible there are more gods than just the one that sends you to an
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eternal afterlife for believing? The author partially addresses this in
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#cite(<Korman2022-KORLFA>, supplement: [pp. 43-44]), using the example of Zeus.
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Zeus will only reward those who believe in him with an eternal afterlife of
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pleasure. So, if you believe in the wrong god, you don't go to the afterlife.
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The author concludes either believing in Zeus or the Christian God still has
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expected utilities of $infinity$, while being an atheist does has a finite
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expected utility. Therefore, it is still preferable to believe in _some_ god
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that may grant you an eternal afterlife, although no argument is made for
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_which_ god.
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I propose that there is the possibility of more gods than just the Christian one that
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sends you to an eternal afterlife for believing. The author partially addresses
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this concern on #cite(<Korman2022-KORLFA>, supplement: [pp. 43-44]), using the
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example of Zeus. Zeus will only reward those who believe in him specifically
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with an eternal afterlife. So, if you believe in the wrong god, you don't go to
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the afterlife. The author concludes believing in either Zeus or the Christian
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God still result in expected utilities of $infinity$, while being an atheist
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always has a finite expected utility. Therefore, you should still believe in
|
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_some_ god that could grant you an eternal afterlife, although no argument is
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made for _which_ god.
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However, this leaves out the possibility of gods who punish you for some
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reason. For instance, suppose there exists an _Evil God_ who sends anyone who
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believes in any god to hell for eternity, and does nothing to atheists.
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However, this leaves out the possibility of gods who instead punish you for
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eternity. For instance, suppose there exists an _Evil God_ who sends any theist
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to hell for eternity, and does nothing to atheists. That is, the Evil God will
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punish anyone who believes in _any_ god, including those who believe in the
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Evil God themselves.
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Let us modify our decision matrix to model an outcome where the Evil God
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exists.
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@ -151,7 +181,7 @@ exists.
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table.header(
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[],
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[Correct god exists ($33.3%$)],
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[No god exists ($33.3%$)],
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[No god or wrong god ($33.3%$)],
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[Evil God exists ($33.3%$)],
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[E.U.],
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),
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|
@ -172,19 +202,18 @@ We've added the new option to our matrix. For the sake of argument, let's say
|
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each option has an equally likely outcome. Again, the exact probabilities don't
|
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really matter when we're multiplying them by infinity.
|
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The utilities are mostly the same as before. Not believing in any god and the
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Evil God existing is now the best case for the atheist since they avoided
|
||||
infinite suffering. However, the theist now faces the possibility of the worst
|
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case of all: eternal punishment for believing in the wrong god. If eternal
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bliss in heaven has a utility of $infinity$, then it follows that we should
|
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represent eternal punishment in hell with a utility of $-infinity$.
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The utilities are mostly the same as before. However, the theist now faces the
|
||||
possibility of the worst case of all: eternal punishment if the Evil God
|
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exists. If eternal bliss in heaven has a utility of $infinity$, then it follows
|
||||
that we should represent eternal punishment in hell with a utility of
|
||||
$-infinity$.
|
||||
|
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There is a problem: how do we calculate the expected utility of believing in
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god? We have $0.333 times infinity + 0.333 times 1 + 0.333 times -infinity$.
|
||||
What is $infinity - infinity$? A naive answer might be 0, but infinity is not a
|
||||
number in the traditional sense. It makes no sense to add or subtract infinite
|
||||
values. For instance, try and subtract the total amount of integers
|
||||
($infinity$) from the total amount of real numbers (also $infinity$)
|
||||
Let us attempt to calculate the expected utility of believing in god using our
|
||||
usual method. We have $0.333 times infinity + 0.333 times 1 + 0.333 times
|
||||
-infinity$. What is $infinity - infinity$? A naive answer might be 0, but
|
||||
infinity is not a number in the traditional sense. It makes no sense to add or
|
||||
subtract infinite values. For instance, try and subtract the total amount of
|
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integers ($infinity$) from the total amount of real numbers (also $infinity$)
|
||||
#footnote[Famously, this infinity is "larger" than the infinite number of
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integers in the sense of cardinality (G. Cantor). But subtracting them still
|
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makes no mathematical or physical sense.]. Clearly, this notion is meaningless
|
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|
@ -197,13 +226,13 @@ Consider the following Indeterminate Utilities argument:
|
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title: "The Indeterminate Utilities argument",
|
||||
abbreviation: "IU",
|
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[If the expected utility of believing in god is undefined, then we
|
||||
cannot compare the expected utilities of believing in god or not believing
|
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cannot compare the expected utilities of believing in god and not believing
|
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in god.],
|
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[The expected utility of believing in god is undefined.],
|
||||
[So, we cannot compare the expected utilities of believing in god or
|
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[So, we cannot compare the expected utilities of believing in god and
|
||||
not believing in god.
|
||||
],
|
||||
[If we cannot compare the expected utilities of believing in god or
|
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[If we cannot compare the expected utilities of believing in god and
|
||||
not believing in god, then we cannot determine if believing in god has a
|
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higher expected utility than not believing in god.
|
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],
|
||||
|
@ -247,26 +276,26 @@ utility, it is a false premise.
|
|||
|
||||
One might argue that it is not plausible there is an Evil God who punishes all
|
||||
theists, including their own believers. Many religions present a god that
|
||||
rewards believers and at most punishes disbelievers. None of the major world
|
||||
religions propose an Evil God who punishes all believers. It's much more likely
|
||||
that a benevolent god exists than an evil one.
|
||||
rewards believers and at most punishes disbelievers, yet none of the major
|
||||
world religions propose an Evil God who punishes all believers
|
||||
indiscriminately. It's much more likely that a benevolent god exists than an
|
||||
evil one.
|
||||
|
||||
I contend that it doesn't matter whether or not the Evil God is less plausible
|
||||
than a benevolent god. Surely, if a rational atheist who is unconvinced by all
|
||||
the world's scriptures can still concede that there is at least a non-zero
|
||||
chance that some god exists, the rational theist should also concede that there
|
||||
is a non-zero chance that the Evil God exists. All it takes is that non-zero
|
||||
chance, no matter how small, because multiplying it by $-infinity$ still
|
||||
results in the undefined expected utility.
|
||||
Notice that it doesn't actually matter how plausible the Evil God is. If a
|
||||
rational atheist should concede there is at least a non-zero chance some god
|
||||
exists, then there must also be a non-zero chance the Evil God exists. After
|
||||
all, can you say for sure that the Evil God doesn't exist? All it takes is that
|
||||
non-zero chance, no matter how small, because multiplying it by $-infinity$
|
||||
still results in the undefined expected utility.
|
||||
|
||||
== Finite utilities
|
||||
|
||||
One might argue that we can avoid using $infinity$ to ensure that all expected
|
||||
utility calculations are defined. Instead, suppose that the utility of going to
|
||||
utility calculations are defined. Instead, suppose the utility of going to
|
||||
heaven is just an immensely large finite number. The utility of going to hell
|
||||
is likewise a very negative number. All of our expected utility calculations
|
||||
will be defined, and given sufficiently large utilities, we should be able to
|
||||
make a similar argument for believing in god.
|
||||
will be defined, since infinity is not used. Given sufficiently large
|
||||
utilities, we should be able to make a similar argument for believing in god.
|
||||
|
||||
// The problem with this argument is that we now open our expected utilities up to
|
||||
// individual subjective determination. A core feature of the previous argument
|
||||
|
@ -277,21 +306,24 @@ make a similar argument for believing in god.
|
|||
// well. This greatly complicates the decision matrix.
|
||||
|
||||
The problem with this argument is that infinity has a special property the
|
||||
argument relies on. Namely, any number multiplied by $infinity$ is still
|
||||
$infinity$, so the exact probabilities we set for the existence of God don't
|
||||
matter. This is important for defending against the objection the author
|
||||
mentions on #cite(<Korman2022-KORLFA>, supplement: [p. 40]), that the
|
||||
probabilities are possibly incorrect, since the numbers don't matter anyways.
|
||||
argument relies on that no finite numbers have. Namely, any number multiplied
|
||||
by $infinity$ is still $infinity$, so the exact probabilities we set for the
|
||||
existence of God don't matter. This is important for defending against the
|
||||
objection that the probabilities are possibly incorrect which the author
|
||||
mentions on #cite(<Korman2022-KORLFA>, supplement: [p. 40]). If the exact
|
||||
numbers don't matter due to $infinity$, it doesn't matter if they might be
|
||||
wrong (as long as they are non-zero).
|
||||
|
||||
If, instead, only finite utilities were used, then the theist must contend with
|
||||
the concern that the probabilities in the matrix are wrong. There could
|
||||
conceivably exist a matrix with probabilities for a benevolent god and an Evil
|
||||
God such that the expected utility of atheism is actually higher. The issue is
|
||||
we cannot say for sure what the probabilities of the benevolent god and the
|
||||
Evil God existing are. If we cannot know what the actual probabilities are,
|
||||
then we cannot know the final outcome of our matrix. So, without knowing the
|
||||
final outcome of the matrix, we still cannot determine whether or not believing
|
||||
in god has greater expected utility, and BG2 still fails.
|
||||
If, instead, only finite utilities were used, the concern that the
|
||||
probabilities in the matrix are wrong cannot be resolved with the same argument
|
||||
as before. There could conceivably exist a matrix with probabilities for a
|
||||
benevolent god and an Evil God such that the expected utility of atheism is
|
||||
actually higher. The issue is we cannot say for sure what the probabilities of
|
||||
the benevolent god and the Evil God existing are. If we cannot know what the
|
||||
actual probabilities are, then we cannot know the final outcome of our matrix.
|
||||
So, without knowing the final outcome of the matrix, we still cannot determine
|
||||
whether or not believing in god has greater expected utility, and BG2 still
|
||||
fails.
|
||||
|
||||
#pagebreak()
|
||||
|
||||
|
|
|
@ -1,6 +1,3 @@
|
|||
#set cite(style: "institute-of-electrical-and-electronics-engineers")
|
||||
#set text(fractions: true)
|
||||
|
||||
#let indented-argument(title: "", abbreviation: "", ..args) = [
|
||||
#set par(first-line-indent: 0pt)
|
||||
|
||||
|
@ -17,5 +14,3 @@
|
|||
..args.pos(),
|
||||
)
|
||||
]
|
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|
||||
|
||||
|
|
Loading…
Reference in a new issue